Back in 2011, if you were given the choice of a 50-gram bar of gold, a US$5,000 index fund invested in the Dow Jones Industrial Average or a Rolex Submariner, which would you pick as the best investment?
If you chose the Submariner, you’d have come out ahead, according to new data from Bob’s Watches, a leading reseller of 1:1 UK Rolex replica watches.
For the past decade, Bob’s has been buying and selling thousands of perfect fake watches using a consistent pricing strategy that has given the company unique insights into the real market value of every Rolex model.
“We are the only company that can go back and grab 10 years of data,” CEO Paul Altieri said.
Rolex makes about a million units each year, according to Forbes, but the popularity of the brand means demand vastly exceeds the supply of new timepieces, leading to a robust secondary market for pre-owned high quality replica watches.
“Rolexes have been a good investment over the years, but not like the last five,” Altieri said.
Indeed, the sales numbers for Swiss movements Rolex copy watches show an uptick beginning in 2017, followed by an even sharper bump up in 2020. Now the average Rolex price is more than US$13,000 – nearly three times the 2011 average of US$5,000.
While the price roughly tracked the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, replica Rolex watches for sale pulled ahead in the past year. Other investments like gold and real estate (as tracked by average home prices) were nowhere close.
But even at these elevated prices, Altieri still maintains that Rolex is a “relatively affordable luxury”, especially when compared to other Swiss brands like Audemars Piguet and Patek Philippe, which routinely go for well north of US$30,000.
The closest Rolex offering to that echelon of top fake watches is the Cosmograph Daytona, which is now worth more than US$31,000 on average in the secondary market, even though it sells at retail for roughly a third of that price.
“Before you leave the store it’s worth double or triple what you paid,” Altieri said.
And that’s if you can even find an authorised dealer who will sell it to you.
“People have waited a year or two for their name to come up on the buyers list – they’re not going to flip it,” Altieri said.
In terms of sheer volume, the classic steel Submariner is far and away 2022 Rolex replica watches’ most popular line, and its price performance has largely tracked with the overall brand average.
Still, the frenzy over the brand has also given a lift to what might be considered entry-level models, such as the wholesale super clone Rolex Date and Datejust watches, which for the first time are worth more than their retail price on the secondary market.
Although past results are never a guarantee of future performance, it’s reasonable to expect that these price trends could continue, given the constrained supply of new product entering the market.
The current total value of the pre-owned luxury China fake watches market is estimated to be US$20 billion, according to a report from McKinsey, and is expected to top US$29 billion by 2025.
Altieri said that while stock market index funds will likely continue to be the prudent, safe choice for investing, they’re not all that interesting to own.
“Most people have never even seen a share of stock, much less held one,” Altieri said.
Top replica watches, he points out, is at least something you can touch every day.
